Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.193105 0.219776 0.248398 0.281353 0.318200 0.358082 0.404467
2025-12-28 0.158236 0.194095 0.235161 0.285500 0.345359 0.414074 0.498728
2026-01-04 0.135146 0.176826 0.227286 0.292502 0.374142 0.472516 0.599533
2026-01-11 0.115960 0.160792 0.217833 0.295085 0.396238 0.523348 0.694209
2026-01-18 0.102012 0.149076 0.211688 0.300094 0.420528 0.577520 0.796040
2026-01-25 0.091982 0.140995 0.208889 0.308402 0.448831 0.637910 0.909264
2026-02-01 0.080963 0.129924 0.200408 0.307438 0.463558 0.680204 1.000058
2026-02-08 0.071644 0.120065 0.192345 0.305793 0.476438 0.719917 1.088843
2026-02-15 0.063827 0.111469 0.185072 0.304243 0.488710 0.758793 1.177957
2026-02-22 0.058977 0.106961 0.183444 0.310810 0.513113 0.816223 1.296782
2026-03-01 0.053381 0.100519 0.178019 0.310707 0.526853 0.858068 1.394159
2026-03-08 0.048560 0.094815 0.173159 0.310888 0.540687 0.900379 1.493991
2026-03-15 0.044141 0.089478 0.168659 0.311678 0.556202 0.947261 1.605427
2026-03-22 0.040803 0.085728 0.166510 0.316208 0.578093 1.005435 1.737943
2026-03-29 0.038268 0.083192 0.166232 0.323875 0.605662 1.074202 1.891104
2026-04-05 0.035319 0.079482 0.163427 0.326701 0.624904 1.130103 2.025903
2026-04-12 0.033005 0.076769 0.162188 0.332188 0.649025 1.195286 2.179270
2026-04-19 0.031328 0.075170 0.162903 0.341290 0.680085 1.273767 2.358842
2026-04-26 0.028686 0.071182 0.158524 0.340233 0.692325 1.320021 2.485029
2026-05-03 0.026238 0.067311 0.153991 0.338431 0.702895 1.363640 2.608431
2026-05-10 0.024043 0.063741 0.149717 0.336732 0.713400 1.407457 2.733990
2026-05-17 0.022832 0.062321 0.149837 0.343927 0.741452 1.484427 2.922425
2026-05-24 0.021115 0.059470 0.146583 0.343814 0.755005 1.535152 3.065226